New intermediate advisory showing more recurve: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/175641.shtml?cone#contents
Perhaps the rainfall graph give us a sneak peak into the future projection of Dorian’s path through Florida: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/175641.shtml?rainqpf#contents
Anyone want to visit Mississippi over the weekend? Maybe help me do some fall season bush hogging. Rebuild the carb on my GS. Go bass fishing in the lake. Etc. Stay safe.
Now CAT 4 and still increasing in strength. The big right hand turn up the coast is obviously in play. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/024334.shtml?cone#contents Because it is now CAT 4 the wind field is now even bigger.: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/024334.shtml?tswind120#contents The big hook depicted by the precipitation graph: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/024334.shtml?rainqpf#contents
Recurving along the coast is now a likely solution: https://www.cyclocane.com/dorian-spaghetti-models/ Notice a new area of interest in yellow.
Tired of all the fluff on TV? Here's a guy I've always looked to because of his expertise. Really good narrative on what the storm might do.
5 am update. The trend continues: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/090017.shtml?cone#contents
Here in the Ft Myers/Naples area we are now out of the cone. We are expecting some wind - gusts perhaps to 40 mph and a bit of rain;but as to rainfall, nothing out of the ordinary for this time of year. It looks like the storm shutters will stay in the shed.
The recurve trend continues: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/234045.shtml?cone#contents
Freeport in the Bahamas will receive 150 mph winds sustained while Dorian slowly moves westward. There will be a lot of damage: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/053734.shtml?cone#contents